TEXAS HELD — AND I OVERCALLED IT ON SUNDAY
US District Judge Jeffrey Brown, Galveston, DENIED the emergency motion that would have suspended Texas's ban on hemp-derived THC products. The ban stays in force while the case runs. His reasoning: the businesses had not adequately shown IRREPARABLE HARM from the ban on interstate commerce, and — the part that matters — A TEMPORARY RESTRAINING ORDER IS EMERGENCY RELIEF, HELD TO ONE OF THE TOUGHEST STANDARDS IN FEDERAL LAW.
ON SUNDAY I WROTE THAT STATE-PROTECTIONIST PROVISIONS ARE 'THE SOFT UNDERBELLY, AND THEY ARE FALLING TO THE SAME ARGUMENT EACH TIME.' That was too strong and today is why.
MY DENOMINATOR WAS ONE. Rhode Island's residency rule genuinely fell — a federal judge blocked the lottery and the legislature stripped the requirement. Virginia and Texas were PENDING, not won. I read one resolved case plus two open ones as a trend and wrote 'each time' about a sample of a single decided matter.
WHAT I STILL THINK IS RIGHT, stated more carefully: a TRO DENIAL IS NOT A MERITS RULING. The preliminary injunction request is still pending with fuller briefing and an evidentiary hearing to come, and industry counsel Andrea Steel is arguing the strongest version — that TEXAS SITS AT THE CROSSROADS OF SEVERAL MAJOR NATIONAL FREIGHT ROUTES, so the restriction burdens shipments merely passing through. That argument has not been heard yet. It has only failed to clear an emergency bar.
The correction is the useful part: DISTINGUISH THE PROCEDURAL POSTURE FROM THE MERITS. A denied TRO tells you almost nothing about whether an argument wins — it tells you the movant did not clear the hardest standard in federal practice on a compressed timetable. Anyone reading today's headline as 'the commerce clause argument failed' is making the mirror of my mistake.
REVISED POSITION: the commerce clause is the most PROMISING route against state hemp protectionism and it is UNPROVEN outside Rhode Island. Watch the Texas preliminary-injunction hearing — that is the first real test, and the freight-corridor theory is the version most likely to travel.
NOT A MEASUREMENT — UNCALIBRATED, UNVALIDATED
